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By Thomas Downing

Weather, swap and possibility provides an summary of 'extreme' climate similar occasions and our skill to deal with them. It specializes in society's responses, coverage issues and methodologies for the research of climatic dangers. Drawing on all over the world study from the prime names within the box this quantity explores the adjustments in climate dangers that may be anticipated because the international weather adjustments.

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Management of the risk includes mapping the risk, monitoring sensitive areas (especially in the UK, Spain, France and Germany), altering insurance cover and premiums (as has already happened for affected homes in the UK), and alteration to building designs. While the responses should prove adequate over the next few decades, the competitive nature of the insurance sector has hindered a sector-wide approach. , Chapter 4, this volume). The chapter illustrates analyses at both the site and broad-scale.

ENSO-like precipitation anomalies were enhanced, but the associated surface wind anomalies were not greatly affected. They also noted several mechanisms which acted to nullify intensification of associated atmospheric anomalies. Coupled-model results obtained by CSIRO reveal ENSO-like warm and cold events under 1×CO2 conditions although the amplitude is much less than observed (Gordon and O’Farrell, 1997). Under enhanced (up to 3×CO2) greenhouse conditions, these events were also found to continue but with no major changes in either amplitude or frequency.

2 Regional climate change: The changing context Possible changes in climatic hazards in the Australian region are of course closely related to the regional manifestations of the global change in average climate. , 1990, 1992, 1996). HENNESSY, ET AL. 2 Continued Source: Based on Insurance Council of Australia (1997) estimates of the pattern of local temperature and precipitation change per degree global warming. 5°C). These were combined with the second highest and second lowest estimates (at each grid point) for local change per degree global warming from five GCMs.

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